CASE STUDY 005 · SPIDER-VERSE & SPIDER-NOIR

Spider-Man Noir #1

CGC 9.8 NM/M · Universal · Marvel Comics, 2009

Two screen cycles.
A higher recent trading range.

Recorded sales of the original Spider-Man Noir #1, from the animated Spider-Verse appearance through the live-action series launch. Recent prices rose, but the earliest comparisons are thin and the follow-up remains short.

01 / THE STUDY TIMELINE

TV news accompanied gains.
The first film had a different pattern.

2018—SEP 2026

450 recorded sales from 2018 through capture. Eight dated media and publishing milestones. The baseline is the six complete months before the 2023 TV-development report.

Individual saleMonthly medianDated milestoneBaseline: $345
Spider-Man Noir #1 CGC 9.8 Universal — monthly medians and dated events$0$200$400$600$800$1,000201820192020202120222023202420252026Sale price ($, as displayed by GPA)2018-07-08: $4252018-07-20: $5002018-08-17: $5292018-09-24: $3952018-09-30: $4212018-10-14: $3762018-10-25: $3602018-10-29: $3842018-10-29: $3602018-11-01: $3402018-11-06: $3702018-11-11: $2842018-11-27: $3502018-11-29: $2802018-11-30: $3752018-12-02: $3252018-12-02: $3482018-12-05: $3002018-12-07: $4002018-12-07: $3002018-12-15: $2992018-12-28: $3002018-12-30: $3502019-01-03: $2062019-01-06: $3002019-01-15: $2252019-01-20: $2002019-01-27: $3002019-01-27: $1902019-01-30: $2202019-02-01: $3292019-02-03: $2032019-02-06: $2192019-02-12: $2852019-02-16: $7502019-02-18: $2252019-03-04: $1992019-03-10: $2842019-03-13: $1332019-03-17: $1882019-03-20: $3762019-04-10: $2702019-04-13: $1472019-04-24: $1942019-04-27: $1812019-05-10: $3402019-05-14: $2752019-05-22: $1472019-05-24: $1832019-06-17: $2002019-06-30: $2082019-07-03: $1962019-07-26: $1862019-07-29: $2202019-08-21: $1942019-08-31: $2152019-09-15: $2042019-09-17: $2152019-09-24: $2012019-10-01: $2102019-10-29: $2202019-10-29: $2292019-11-02: $2552019-12-29: $2132019-12-29: $2252020-01-01: $2102020-01-01: $3662020-02-11: $1902020-02-12: $2262020-02-16: $2802020-02-26: $2002020-03-04: $2002020-03-06: $2352020-03-10: $2102020-04-21: $2502020-04-23: $2502020-04-27: $3002020-05-09: $2002020-05-14: $2002020-05-17: $2552020-05-21: $2692020-05-23: $3002020-05-27: $3502020-05-27: $2802020-06-01: $3512020-06-07: $3602020-06-14: $5102020-07-01: $6002020-07-01: $5002020-07-09: $5902020-07-13: $6682020-07-16: $5852020-07-17: $6262020-07-17: $4752020-07-24: $7502020-08-09: $7002020-08-17: $7002020-08-27: $6352020-08-28: $7002020-09-10: $3002020-09-18: $6102020-09-18: $6702020-09-28: $5632020-10-11: $5552020-10-13: $7252020-10-14: $6002020-10-26: $4552020-10-28: $5002021-01-07: $4752021-01-10: $4402021-01-15: $3872021-01-16: $3352021-01-21: $4002021-01-25: $4062021-01-26: $4502021-01-29: $4992021-02-03: $4752021-02-07: $5352021-02-07: $5252021-02-09: $4502021-02-09: $5002021-02-12: $5002021-02-15: $4752021-02-22: $5652021-02-23: $4312021-02-23: $5862021-02-25: $4252021-02-26: $5002021-02-28: $6002021-02-28: $5292021-03-01: $5752021-03-02: $4942021-03-04: $5502021-03-10: $4842021-03-11: $5852021-03-14: $6002021-03-17: $5002021-04-08: $5902021-04-18: $5112021-04-24: $6002021-05-02: $7302021-05-02: $6192021-05-09: $5882021-05-21: $7002021-05-23: $5952021-06-04: $5402021-06-18: $5322021-07-04: $4652021-07-04: $5852021-07-31: $6992021-08-14: $5602021-08-16: $6402021-08-25: $5002021-09-08: $2162021-09-08: $4992021-10-04: $5002021-10-10: $6002021-10-17: $5852021-11-04: $6502021-11-09: $5082021-11-14: $4822021-12-05: $5502021-12-15: $4762021-12-23: $4502021-12-24: $5492021-12-28: $5002022-01-30: $5252022-02-12: $5802022-02-12: $4552022-02-13: $5252022-02-13: $6142022-02-17: $6462022-02-20: $5002022-02-20: $5872022-02-26: $5102022-03-05: $5222022-03-12: $5352022-03-19: $5152022-03-26: $5002022-04-10: $5092022-04-10: $4662022-04-30: $5002022-05-06: $5002022-05-14: $4502022-05-22: $4302022-05-29: $4062022-06-09: $2252022-06-25: $4002022-06-29: $4752022-07-22: $3352022-08-02: $4502022-08-02: $4252022-08-21: $4002022-08-31: $3492022-08-31: $4502022-09-21: $3402022-10-01: $4102022-10-16: $5002022-10-30: $3452022-11-10: $1252022-11-16: $3002022-11-18: $3002022-12-09: $3082022-12-20: $3302022-12-20: $3152022-12-24: $3002023-01-12: $2322023-01-14: $3602023-01-27: $3502023-01-27: $3302023-01-30: $3752023-02-09: $4202023-02-09: $5002023-02-09: $5252023-02-09: $4952023-02-09: $4502023-02-09: $4252023-02-09: $4212023-02-09: $4202023-02-09: $3802023-02-09: $3502023-02-10: $5502023-02-11: $5252023-02-12: $4232023-02-18: $5002023-02-22: $4372023-02-23: $4802023-02-25: $4982023-02-26: $5002023-03-04: $5002023-03-04: $5002023-03-05: $4692023-03-06: $5292023-03-10: $5252023-03-13: $4802023-03-13: $5502023-03-21: $5002023-03-31: $5202023-04-05: $5002023-04-13: $4952023-04-16: $4252023-05-07: $5152023-05-14: $4752023-05-19: $4792023-05-27: $4502023-05-30: $4662023-06-06: $4702023-06-11: $4802023-06-12: $4902023-06-12: $4102023-06-18: $4252023-06-23: $4022023-06-28: $4502023-06-28: $3752023-07-06: $3982023-07-08: $3502023-07-28: $4002023-07-30: $4162023-08-01: $6002023-08-16: $4252023-08-26: $4402023-08-29: $3852023-09-03: $4502023-09-23: $4252023-10-15: $4502023-10-21: $2852023-10-29: $4502023-10-30: $4202023-10-31: $4252023-11-03: $5002023-11-26: $3602023-12-02: $5752023-12-04: $4702023-12-10: $4902023-12-10: $4562023-12-13: $4502023-12-24: $4452024-01-03: $4252024-01-21: $4602024-01-21: $4452024-01-22: $4252024-01-24: $5202024-02-15: $3502024-02-17: $3192024-02-18: $4402024-02-18: $4002024-02-22: $4102024-03-29: $4502024-03-31: $4992024-04-16: $4002024-04-18: $3852024-04-30: $3512024-05-04: $3902024-05-08: $4002024-05-13: $3432024-05-14: $4692024-05-14: $3972024-05-15: $4702024-05-17: $4992024-05-18: $5002024-05-18: $4642024-05-20: $6282024-05-20: $5992024-05-31: $5002024-06-15: $4172024-06-18: $4402024-06-30: $6102024-07-05: $5002024-07-07: $5122024-07-10: $5252024-08-07: $4752024-08-18: $5002024-08-19: $3912024-08-19: $3812024-08-28: $6002024-09-05: $3852024-09-18: $3342024-09-29: $3882024-10-07: $5292024-10-09: $3722024-10-17: $4162024-10-20: $4602024-10-24: $4252024-10-25: $5292024-11-06: $8502024-11-06: $5702024-11-17: $5652024-11-18: $5412024-11-21: $4502024-11-29: $4732024-12-14: $4052024-12-14: $3502024-12-15: $3662024-12-23: $3822024-12-24: $5402025-01-02: $4282025-01-08: $4752025-01-10: $4502025-01-23: $4052025-01-26: $5252025-02-08: $4662025-02-15: $3712025-02-22: $4142025-02-24: $4182025-03-04: $3332025-04-17: $4282025-04-20: $5202025-04-21: $5372025-04-21: $5252025-05-12: $5502025-05-13: $5252025-05-13: $2452025-05-15: $6152025-05-18: $5402025-05-27: $3962025-07-23: $5292025-07-27: $5002025-08-07: $4692025-08-24: $4302025-08-25: $5002025-09-07: $4212025-09-22: $4632025-09-25: $3132025-10-21: $3842025-10-23: $3102025-10-26: $3972025-10-26: $4502025-11-01: $4302025-11-02: $4502025-11-11: $3752025-11-15: $4502025-12-04: $4202025-12-06: $4482025-12-15: $4402025-12-26: $4802025-12-29: $4772026-01-15: $3602026-01-20: $3662026-01-22: $4002026-01-28: $5242026-02-02: $5002026-02-12: $6002026-02-12: $5252026-02-12: $5502026-02-12: $5002026-02-13: $6002026-02-13: $6302026-02-13: $6002026-02-14: $6002026-02-15: $5252026-02-18: $5502026-02-19: $5772026-02-19: $6002026-02-20: $5352026-02-22: $5502026-02-23: $5412026-02-26: $5502026-02-27: $5502026-03-01: $5002026-03-04: $5502026-03-05: $7002026-03-08: $6952026-03-28: $5552026-04-06: $4052026-04-10: $4452026-04-13: $5502026-04-23: $5122026-04-24: $5802026-04-27: $5502026-04-30: $5402026-05-04: $5502026-05-05: $5252026-05-05: $5292026-05-05: $5852026-05-10: $4552026-05-11: $5002026-05-14: $6002026-05-18: $5212026-05-20: $5782026-05-24: $6502026-05-24: $5252026-05-24: $7502026-05-25: $5602026-05-26: $4502026-05-27: $6622026-05-27: $6602026-05-28: $6752026-05-29: $6002026-05-29: $6652026-05-30: $6602026-05-31: $6902026-06-01: $6792026-06-08: $5502026-06-09: $5562026-06-11: $6492026-06-23: $6412026-07-03: $5892026-07-24: $5922026-07-31: $7322026-07-31: $5712026-07-31: $6502026-07-31: $6002026-08-03: $5752026-08-04: $5952026-08-07: $6502026-08-17: $4692026-08-18: $6432026-08-23: $6602026-08-24: $6552026-08-26: $7651. Cage confirmed2018-07-202. Animated release2018-12-143. New comic series2020-03-044. TV development2023-02-095. Series ordered2024-05-146. Comic relaunch2025-10-017. TV teaser2026-02-128. Prime release2026-05-27Recorded sales / month (peak: 21)2018-07-01: 2 sales2018-08-01: 1 sales2018-09-01: 2 sales2018-10-01: 4 sales2018-11-01: 6 sales2018-12-01: 8 sales2019-01-01: 7 sales2019-02-01: 6 sales2019-03-01: 5 sales2019-04-01: 4 sales2019-05-01: 4 sales2019-06-01: 2 sales2019-07-01: 3 sales2019-08-01: 2 sales2019-09-01: 3 sales2019-10-01: 3 sales2019-11-01: 1 sales2019-12-01: 2 sales2020-01-01: 2 sales2020-02-01: 4 sales2020-03-01: 3 sales2020-04-01: 3 sales2020-05-01: 7 sales2020-06-01: 3 sales2020-07-01: 8 sales2020-08-01: 4 sales2020-09-01: 4 sales2020-10-01: 5 sales2021-01-01: 8 sales2021-02-01: 14 sales2021-03-01: 7 sales2021-04-01: 3 sales2021-05-01: 5 sales2021-06-01: 2 sales2021-07-01: 3 sales2021-08-01: 3 sales2021-09-01: 2 sales2021-10-01: 3 sales2021-11-01: 3 sales2021-12-01: 5 sales2022-01-01: 1 sales2022-02-01: 8 sales2022-03-01: 4 sales2022-04-01: 3 sales2022-05-01: 4 sales2022-06-01: 3 sales2022-07-01: 1 sales2022-08-01: 5 sales2022-09-01: 1 sales2022-10-01: 3 sales2022-11-01: 3 sales2022-12-01: 4 sales2023-01-01: 5 sales2023-02-01: 18 sales2023-03-01: 9 sales2023-04-01: 3 sales2023-05-01: 5 sales2023-06-01: 8 sales2023-07-01: 4 sales2023-08-01: 4 sales2023-09-01: 2 sales2023-10-01: 5 sales2023-11-01: 2 sales2023-12-01: 6 sales2024-01-01: 5 sales2024-02-01: 5 sales2024-03-01: 2 sales2024-04-01: 3 sales2024-05-01: 12 sales2024-06-01: 3 sales2024-07-01: 3 sales2024-08-01: 5 sales2024-09-01: 3 sales2024-10-01: 6 sales2024-11-01: 6 sales2024-12-01: 5 sales2025-01-01: 5 sales2025-02-01: 4 sales2025-03-01: 1 sales2025-04-01: 4 sales2025-05-01: 6 sales2025-07-01: 2 sales2025-08-01: 3 sales2025-09-01: 3 sales2025-10-01: 4 sales2025-11-01: 4 sales2025-12-01: 5 sales2026-01-01: 4 sales2026-02-01: 18 sales2026-03-01: 5 sales2026-04-01: 7 sales2026-05-01: 21 sales2026-06-01: 5 sales2026-07-01: 6 sales2026-08-01: 8 salesSource: GPAnalysis · 450 recorded sales · monthly medians · September 2026 partial; no September sales captured.

Dots retain recorded sale dates. Monthly medians sit at mid-month; connecting lines do not estimate daily prices. Empty periods break the line. Bars show recorded transactions per period. September 2026 partial; no September sales captured. Scroll horizontally on smaller screens.

BEFORE TV DEVELOPMENT$345

Aug 2022–Jan 2023 median21 sales

PRIME RELEASE MONTH$585

May 2026 median; includes pre-release sales21 sales

AFTER RELEASE$641

Jun–Aug 2026 pooled median19 sales

2026 THROUGH CAPTURE$573

Jan 1–Sep 15; last sale Aug 2674 sales

WHAT THE SALES SHOW

A stronger TV cycle.
A limited first-film baseline.

The February 2023 development comparison rose from $350 (5 sales) to $500 (13 sales), or +42.9%. The May 2024 series-order windows rose from $387.50 (6) to $500 (7), or +29.0%. These are recorded associations, not estimates of what the announcements caused.

The February 2026 teaser comparison rose from $400 (5) to $550 (17). Around the May 27 Prime Video launch, the 30-day median rose from $545 (16) to $654.50 (10), or +20.1%. The June–August pooled median was $641 across 19 sales, above May's $585 across 21 sales.

The earlier animated-film release showed the opposite local pattern: $336.50 (8) before December 14, 2018 versus $300 (5) afterward, or −10.8%. The July casting-confirmation comparison has only one sale per side; earlier casting reports also prevent treating that date as a clean starting point.

02 / CATALYST BY CATALYST

What changed around each event?

Median prices and recorded volumes in the 30 calendar days before and after each date. Event-day sales are excluded. Overlapping windows are not independent effects.

MilestoneBefore medianAfter medianPrice changeVolume change
$4251 sales · very small sample$5291 sales · very small sample+24.5%0.0%
$336.508 sales$3005 sales-10.8%-37.5%
$2134 sales · very small sample$222.502 sales · very small sample+4.5%-50.0%
$3505 sales$50013 sales+42.9%+160.0%
$387.506 sales$5007 sales+29.0%+16.7%
$4213 sales · very small sample$390.504 sales · very small sample-7.2%+33.3%
$4005 sales$55017 sales+37.5%+240.0%
$54516 sales$654.5010 sales+20.1%-37.5%

Samples below five transactions are flagged. Percentage changes are descriptive and do not establish causation. Monthly medians retain timing detail: 95 months have sales from 2018 through August 2026, and 18 of those months contain only one or two sales. Five of eight milestones have at least five sales on both sides of a 30-day window. Retain 30 days consistently, flag sparse comparisons, and report 90-day sensitivity. Five is an editorial warning threshold, not a significance test.

03 / THE LONG VIEW

The highest sale and highest monthly median came earlier.

2009—2026

The long view reproduces all 14 available GPA annual averages, with 2026 partial. The highest individual sale was $850 on November 6, 2024. The highest monthly median was $700 in August 2020, from only four sales. Neither peak occurred at the 2026 launch.

Spider-Man Noir #1 CGC 9.8 Universal — lifetime annual averagesDetailed study window$0$200$400$600$800$1,0002009201220152018202120242026Sale price ($, as displayed by GPA)Source: GPA annual summaries · 2026 partial · Averages, not individual sales

Annual averages reproduce GPA’s rounded summaries and differ from the medians above. The capture year is partial.

Publishing and later news
complicate a single-event story.

Marvel's 2020 series and October 2025 relaunch are marked above. Marvel also lists a 2026 facsimile edition, adding publishing activity around the TV cycle. These later books are excluded from the original first-print sales category.

TVLine reported cancellation on September 4, 2026. The capture ends with an August 26 sale, so no post-cancellation transaction is available. A missing response is not evidence that prices were unaffected.

90-day sensitivity

The animated release comparison is −37.5% ($360, 17 sales; $225, 19). TV development is +58.7% ($315, 11; $500, 21); the series order is +25.0% ($400, 13; $500, 14); the teaser is +22.8% ($448, 11; $550, 31); and the Prime launch is +16.9% ($550, 28; $643, 23). Broader windows retain the direction of these comparisons while including more overlapping news.

RESEARCH NOTES

Traceable data.
Defined comparisons.

Recorded transactions, documented exclusions, and sourced events.

Capture audit

GPAnalysis ↗ · 457 captured rows · 457 eligible rows · 450 plotted rows. Capture scope: lifetime. All 14 available annual summaries reconcile to their individual rows. No annual summaries were displayed for 2012–2015. Latest recorded sale: August 26, 2026; 2026 is partial.

Method selection

Monthly medians retain timing detail: 95 months have sales from 2018 through August 2026, and 18 of those months contain only one or two sales. Five of eight milestones have at least five sales on both sides of a 30-day window. Retain 30 days consistently, flag sparse comparisons, and report 90-day sensitivity. Five is an editorial warning threshold, not a significance test.

Identity & capture

The GPA link identifies Spider-Man Noir #1, Marvel, 2009. This study uses the standard, unqualified UNI 9.8 row for the main cover first printing. GPA lists variants and newsstand copies separately. Marvel catalogs the original series as 2008–2009; its issue-one listing gives December 17, 2008 as publication date. GPA's 2009 designation is retained for identification. The linked variant is date evidence only, not the studied cover.

All 457 original dated rows were captured from visible GPA tables in signed-in Chrome and matched to their annual headers. No annotated rows required exclusion. Seven transactions precede 2018 and appear in the lifetime capture but not the detailed chart. Repeated certificates remain separate sales. No transactions predate the original publication. Annual-summary gaps do not establish that no copies traded elsewhere.

Defined windows

The baseline pools August 1, 2022 through January 31, 2023 (21 sales), the six complete months before the TV-development report. It is not a pre-animation baseline: January 2017–June 2018 contains only one $150 sale. Release month is all of May 2026 (21 sales), including days before launch. Follow-up pools June–August 2026 (19 sales) to cover three complete post-launch months. The partial-2026 card pools January 1 through September 15 (74 sales); no September sale was shown.

All range ends are exclusive in the underlying calculation. Event windows use days −30 through −1 and +1 through +30; event-day sales are excluded. The 90-day results use the same rule. Pooled medians use individual transactions, never averages of monthly medians. Monthly points sit on the 15th, and empty periods break the line. Sparse months and event sides below five are flagged in validation; that threshold is not statistical significance. The 2020 publishing window overlaps pandemic disruption, and no market-control series is applied.

Historical event sources

  1. ComicBook.com: Comic-Con confirms Cage as animated Noir2018-07-20 · Contemporaneous report of Sony's Comic-Con presentation. Casting reports circulated earlier in July; this is confirmation, not first awareness. Only one sale per 30-day side.
  2. Fandango: Into the Spider-Verse: U.S. theatrical release2018-12-14 · U.S. release date, distinct from premieres and international openings. Cage voices Spider-Man Noir in the ensemble film.
  3. Marvel: Spider-Man Noir (2020) #1 goes on sale2020-03-04 · Marvel's February 6 interview gives March 4 as the on-sale date. This later series is a publishing catalyst, not the issue whose sales are measured. Pandemic disruption overlaps the following months.
  4. TheWrap: Live-action series development reported2023-02-09 · Amazon representative confirmed development to TheWrap. No casting was announced. This is not the later series order.
  5. Amazon Ads: Amazon orders Noir with Nicolas Cage2024-05-14 · Amazon's dated Upfront recap confirms the MGM+ and Prime Video order with Cage starring. Distinct from the 2023 development report.
  6. Marvel: Spider-Man Noir (2025) #1 goes on sale2025-10-01 · Marvel's issue listing confirms the October 1 publication date for the Erik Larsen/Andrea Broccardo series. The linked variant listing is evidence of this later publication only; none of its sales enter this study.
  7. GamesRadar+: Spider-Noir teaser and release-date reveal2026-02-12 · Dated contemporaneous coverage of the first teaser in color and black-and-white. February 11 first-look images are adjacent news, so the window does not isolate the teaser.
  8. Amazon: Spider-Noir: global Prime Video release2026-05-27 · Amazon's May slate lists May 27. MGM+ linear debut preceded the global streaming release; these windows measure the combined launch period, not a separate platform effect.

Prices are nominal GPA-displayed dollars, not inflation-adjusted. Fees, currency normalization, and individual listings have not been independently audited. Counts are recorded transactions, not unique physical copies or total-market volume. Timing alone does not establish cause; no broad-market control is applied. Certified Comic Shop Research · 2026-09-15.